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A Covenant Response to "What Does The Bible Really Say About Who The True Israel Is?"

Updated: Nov 4, 2025


Fair Use Statement

This article, titled “A Covenant Response to ‘What Does The Bible Really Say About Who The True Israel Is?’”, engages critically with the original publication by The Federalist (July 1, 2025) for purposes of theological analysis, education, and public discourse under the principles of Fair Use (17 U.S.C. §107).

Short quotations, screenshots, and references to the original article are included solely for:

  • Commentary and critique of its theological and interpretive claims

  • Educational and scholarly purposes within a covenantal and scriptural framework

  • Noncommercial study and discussion among readers and students of Scripture

All copyrighted material from The Federalist remains the property of its respective copyright holder. No endorsement by The Federalist or its authors is implied.

This response is published under Creative Commons Attribution–ShareAlike 4.0 International (CC BY-SA 4.0) through Ten Words Press, permitting distribution and adaptation for educational or covenantal study use with proper attribution.


According to the 12Tribe Interpreter Framework v4.8

Executive Summary

The Federalist article correctly identifies fatal flaws in Dispensationalism but then overcorrects into Replacement Theology's equal error. The 12Tribe Interpreter Framework reveals a third way: All Israel is one in His hand — the Believing Remnant of the House of Judah, the House of Israel in exile, and the Sojourner from the nations, joined together in Messiah Yeshua (Ezekiel 37:15–28; Ephesians 2:11–22).


Both Dispensationalism and classic Covenant Theology employ the false modern dichotomy of "Jew versus Gentile," which obscures the prophetic reality of Israel's restoration and the ingrafting of the nations into covenant promise.


Points of Agreement

1. Dispensationalism's Errors


The article correctly identifies that:

  • Dispensationalism is a 19th-century novelty without historical pedigree

  • The sharp Israel/Church distinction is unbiblical

  • Modern ethnic Jews who reject Messiah are not automatically covenant people

  • Genesis 12:3 does not mandate unconditional support for the modern secular state of Israel

  • Faith in Messiah Yeshua, not ethnic descent, determines covenant standing


The 12Tribe Framework affirms these critiques. Dispensationalism's "Plan B" theology and artificial prophetic gaps violate covenant continuity and fracture the unity of YHWH's saving purpose.


2. Faith Defines Abraham's Children


The article rightly emphasizes:

  • Romans 4:11-12 — Abraham is father of all who believe, circumcised and uncircumcised

  • Galatians 3:29 — "If you are Messiah's, then you are Abraham's seed, and heirs according to the promise"

  • Unity in Messiah transcends ethnic categories


The 12Tribe Framework agrees. Faith in Messiah Yeshua determines covenant belonging. Yet this truth must not be weaponized to erase Israel's distinct covenant history or prophetic restoration.


Critical Departures from Covenant Truth

1. The False "Jew versus Gentile" Binary


The article's fatal flaw: It perpetuates the modern "Jew versus Gentile" dichotomy that the 12Tribe Framework explicitly rejects.


Covenant reality: Scripture reveals three streams, not two:

  1. The House of Judah — Southern kingdom, preserving Davidic lineage and Temple worship, today's ethnic Jews who retain covenant identity (though most remain in unbelief)

  2. The House of Israel — Northern kingdom, exiled by Assyria in 722 BCE, scattered among the nations, losing covenant identity but not covenant promise (Ezekiel 37; Hosea 1-2)

  3. The Sojourner from the Nations — Non-Israelite peoples grafted into covenant promise through faith in Messiah


The prophetic word: Ezekiel 37:15–28 declares that YHWH will reunite the two sticks (Judah and Ephraim/Israel) into one in His hand. This is not "replacement" but restoration and reunion, with the nations grafted into this restored Israel.

Modern "Gentile believers" are not merely "spiritual Israel" — many are likely physical descendants of the scattered House of Israel who have lost their covenant identity across the centuries. The Ruach HaKodosh is gathering them home, fulfilling the prophetic promise: "I will make them one nation… and one king shall be king over them all" (Ezekiel 37:22).


2. Replacement Theology's Error


The article claims:

"The church is not the replacement of Old Covenant Israel, but the fulfillment of Old Covenant Israel."

This is semantic sleight of hand. When the article declares that modern ethnic Jews "in no way indicate God's covenant blessing" and dismisses their significance entirely, this is Replacement Theology, regardless of the language used.

Covenant truth: Romans 11:1–2 demolishes this position:

"Has God cast away His people? Certainly not!... God has not cast away His people whom He foreknew."

Paul uses present tense: God has not cast away His people. Not past tense ("had not cast away"), not future conditional ("will not cast away if they repent"). The covenant standing of Israel as a people remains, though individuals within Israel may be broken off through unbelief.


3. The Olive Tree Metaphor Misread


The article correctly cites Romans 11's olive tree but misses the covenantal implications:

  • The root is holy (11:16) — Abraham, Isaac, Jacob

  • The tree represents covenant Israel, not "the church" generically

  • Natural branches (ethnic Israelites) are broken off through unbelief

  • Wild branches (those from the nations) are grafted into Israel, not into a separate "church"

  • Natural branches will be grafted back in when they come to faith (11:23–24)


Key covenant insight: Paul warns the grafted-in wild branches not to boast against the natural branches, "for if God did not spare the natural branches, He may not spare you either" (11:21). The nations are grafted into Israel's tree, into Israel's covenant, into Israel's promises. This is not Gentiles becoming a "new Israel" that displaces ethnic Israel — it is the nations being joined to the commonwealth of Israel (Ephesians 2:12).


4. "All Israel" Versus "All Who Are Israel"


The article cites Romans 9:6:

"Not all who are Israel are Israel"

This is twisted to mean "ethnic Israel doesn't matter." But Paul's argument is precisely the opposite:

Romans 9:6 distinguishes two categories within ethnic Israel:

  1. Israel after the flesh (ethnic descendants)

  2. Israel after the promise (those who believe)

Then Romans 11:26 declares:

"And so all Israel will be saved"

Paul is not saying "the church is Israel." He is saying that ethnic Israel as a people will be restored when "the fullness of the Gentiles has come in" (11:25). This is a future, prophetic event tied to Messiah's return.


The 12Tribe Framework affirms: There is a believing remnant now (Romans 11:5), and there will be a corporate restoration of Israel at the consummation when "the Deliverer will come out of Zion, and He will turn away ungodliness from Jacob" (Romans 11:26).


5. The Synagogue of Satan Misapplied


The article references Revelation 2:

"Some who claim to be Jews are not, and their synagogues have become synagogues of Satan."

Covenant reading: This text condemns false claimants to Jewish identity who persecute Messiah's followers. It does not declare that all ethnic Jews who reject Messiah are "synagogues of Satan." Rather, it warns of those who weaponize Jewish identity for persecution while themselves being disconnected from the faith of Abraham.


The Modern State of Israel: Covenant Clarity

The 12Tribe Framework agrees with the article's conclusion: The modern secular state of Israel, founded in 1948, does not fulfill prophecy and has no automatic claim to covenant blessing or Christian allegiance.


Why?

  1. It is a secular state that rejects Messiah Yeshua

  2. Most of its citizens remain in unbelief

  3. Ethnic descent without faith does not secure covenant standing

  4. Genesis 12:3 applies to those who bless Messiah and His Bride, not to geopolitical entities


However, the 12Tribe Framework rejects the article's erasure of Israel's ongoing covenant significance. Romans 11:28–29 declares:

"Concerning the gospel they are enemies for your sake, but concerning the election they are beloved for the sake of the fathers. For the gifts and the calling of God are irrevocable."

Ethnic Israel remains "beloved for the sake of the fathers" even while in unbelief. This is mystery, not contradiction. YHWH's covenant faithfulness to Abraham, Isaac, and Jacob endures, and His promise to regather and restore both houses of Israel will be fulfilled.


Prophetic Trajectories: What Scripture Actually Teaches

1. The Two Houses Will Be Reunited


Ezekiel 37:15–28 is not metaphor or "spiritual" language. It is covenant prophecy:

"I will take the stick of Joseph, which is in the hand of Ephraim, and the tribes of Israel, his companions; and I will join them with the stick of Judah, and make them one stick, and they will be one in My hand… I will make them one nation in the land, on the mountains of Israel; and one king shall be king over them all."

This reunification includes:

  • The Davidic King (Messiah Yeshua) reigning over both houses

  • One covenant, one people, one kingdom

  • The nations grafted in as sojourners within this restored Israel


2. The Fullness of the Gentiles, Then All Israel


Romans 11:25–26:

"Blindness in part has happened to Israel until the fullness of the Gentiles has come in. And so all Israel will be saved."

This is a sequential, prophetic timeline:

  1. Partial hardening of Israel (current age)

  2. Fullness of the Gentiles brought in (current age)

  3. Corporate restoration of Israel (future consummation)

Paul is describing the ingathering of the scattered House of Israel from among the nations, alongside the grafting in of true Gentiles, culminating in the restoration of "all Israel" — both houses united under Messiah's reign.


3. The Abrahamic Covenant Includes Land


The article dismisses land promises as "earthly" versus "spiritual." This is Greek dualism, not Hebrew covenant thought.


Covenant truth: The land promise to Abraham is eternal and unconditional (Genesis 17:8; Psalm 105:8–11). Messiah Yeshua will reign from Zion for a thousand years (Revelation 20:4–6; Isaiah 2:2–4). The Millennial Reign is the covenantal fulfillment of the Davidic promise and the restoration of Israel to the land under Messiah's rule.


The modern secular state of Israel does not fulfill this. But dismissing the land promise entirely is to allegorize covenant into oblivion.


The Third Way: Covenant Fidelity


What the 12Tribe Framework Affirms:


1. All Israel is one in Messiah's hand:

  • The Believing Remnant of the House of Judah

  • The House of Israel in exile, being regathered from the nations

  • The Sojourner from the nations, grafted into covenant promise

  • All three streams united in Messiah Yeshua, sealed by His Blood, written upon by the Ruach HaKodosh


2. Faith in Messiah determines covenant standing — but this does not erase ethnic Israel's ongoing covenant significance or prophetic destiny.


3. The Royal Covenant governs the Bride — not ethnic privilege, not works of Law, but the Ten Words inscribed on hearts by the Ruach HaKodosh.


4. Modern "Jew versus Gentile" categories are rejected as they obscure:

  • The distinction between the House of Judah and the House of Israel

  • The prophetic restoration of both houses

  • The true nature of grafting: nations joined to Israel, not replacing Israel


5. The modern state of Israel has no automatic covenant standing — but neither is ethnic Israel discarded. YHWH's promises endure. The gifts and calling are irrevocable. Corporate restoration awaits the fullness of time.


6. Genesis 12:3 applies to Messiah and His Bride — those who bless Messiah are blessed; those who curse Him are cursed. The Bride includes faithful Israelites and grafted-in sojourners, all covenantally united.


Conclusion: Escaping False Dichotomies


The article's error: Presenting only two options — Dispensationalism or Replacement Theology.


The covenant reality: A third way, the ancient way, the prophetic way:

  • Israel's covenant promises are not transferred to a separate "church" entity

  • The nations are grafted into Israel, not replacing Israel

  • Ethnic Israel's corporate restoration is yet future, when Messiah returns

  • The Bride is Israel restored and expanded — Judah, Ephraim, and the nations, one people under one King


Modern Christians need not choose between:

  • Uncritical support for a secular state (Dispensationalism's error)

  • Erasure of Israel's covenant significance (Replacement Theology's error)


Covenant fidelity requires:

  • Recognizing Messiah Yeshua as the true King of Israel

  • Confessing that faith in Him determines covenant standing

  • Honoring the prophetic promises to ethnic Israel without idolatry

  • Embracing the unity of all believers — from Judah, from scattered Israel, and from the nations — as the one Bride of Messiah


The true Israel of God is indeed gathering this Sunday to worship — but she is not a replacement. She is the restoration, the reunion, the fulfillment of YHWH's promise to make "the two one stick" in His hand, with Messiah Yeshua reigning as King forever.


Summary Statement

We confess that YHWH's covenant love is fulfilled in Messiah Yeshua. All Israel is one in His hand — Judah's remnant, Israel in exile, and the sojourner joined by faith. The Royal Covenant governs the Bride's life. The Ten Words, written by the Finger of Elohim, are the incorruptible plumb line by which all teaching is tested.

Messiah Yeshua is the true King of Israel, and His Bride is Israel restored — not replaced, not spiritualized into abstraction, but gathered, grafted, and united under His covenantal reign.


The modern secular state of Israel claims no covenant blessing through unbelief. But ethnic Israel's prophetic destiny remains secure in YHWH's faithfulness. When the fullness of the nations has come in, all Israel will be saved, the two sticks will become one, and Messiah will reign from Zion for a thousand years.

This is the covenant hope. This is the prophetic word. This is the 12Tribe witness.


Baruch HaShem.

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